To test the impact of various data collection methods, the ELTE Survey Methods Room Budapest research group commissioned three different research firms to conduct questionnaire-based data collection surveys of 1,000 respondents each between April 7 and 10, 2026. During the research, all three firms used the same questionnaire to examine election-related questions, based on their own, different methodological standards. The methods used included a variety of sampling and data collection techniques. We will present the methodological findings of the research on April 30, 2026 - below, we highlight a few interesting trends.

When it comes to party preferences, voters are extremely divided based on their living conditions. Living in rural areas or small towns and having a low level of education are strongly associated with a willingness to vote for Fidesz. Conversely, living in cities or large urban areas and having a higher level of education are associated with voting for Tisza. Support for Tisza is more common among those with a moderate or poor subjective income situation. In addition to the above, a sharp generational divide is also worth mentioning: among those under 55, the Tisza Party is the most supported political party, while among those over 55, Fidesz holds a clear lead.

Voting preferences for individual candidates almost completely align with support for party lists. Such a situation favors the formation of an extreme parliamentary composition (such as a two-thirds majority). Parliament will likely be a three-party system. The chances of a Fidesz - Mi Hazánk majority are very small; the most likely outcome is a Tisza majority.